Tunisia Weather Forecast: Light Rain in the Northwest & Southwest, Strong Winds, and Regional Temperature Guide

Last updated: 01/05/2026

Synoptic Overview: A weak frontal system is influencing Tunisia’s weather today, Monday. This typically results in increased cloud cover and localized, light precipitation as it interacts with regional topography and air masses. The forecast indicates generally partly cloudy skies, with a notable shift to denser cloud formations and light rain expected in specific regions.

Detailed Regional Forecast & Impacts:

  • Precipitation & Cloud Cover: The day will begin with partly cloudy conditions nationwide. Dense clouds will develop over the far northwest (likely encompassing areas like Jendouba and the Kroumirie mountains) bringing periods of light rain. [[PEAI_MEDIA_X]] This band of moisture is then forecast to extend southward overnight, affecting the southwest (potentially including Gafsa and the surrounding regions). This movement is characteristic of systems being steered by upper-level winds.
  • Wind Conditions: A southwesterly flow will dominate. Winds will be relatively strong across the country, becoming locally strong near all coasts due to frictionless acceleration over water. Inland, winds will be moderate to relatively strong. This pattern suggests a tightening of the pressure gradient associated with the approaching system.
  • Marine Warning: The strong southwesterly winds will generate hazardous sea conditions. The Gulf of Gabes and the Chabba region will experience very rough seas, posing risks to navigation and small craft. Seas will be wavy along the remaining coasts. Mariners should exercise caution and consult detailed maritime bulletins.
  • Temperature Analysis: A distinct thermal gradient will be present. Maximum temperatures will be cooler in the west and north, ranging between 14 and 19°C in the western regions and the Cap Bon peninsula. The rest of the country, particularly central and southern areas shielded from the direct cloud and rain, will see highs between 20 and 24°C. This variance highlights the moderating effect of cloud cover and precipitation on daytime heating.

Practical Advice for the Public:

  • Northwest & Southwest Residents: Carry a light umbrella or raincoat, especially in the evening and overnight. The rain is expected to be light but could cause slick roads.
  • Coastal Communities & Mariners: Secure loose outdoor items. Postpone non-essential sea voyages, especially in the Gulf of Gabes, due to the very rough seas.
  • General Planning: The strong winds may lead to blowing dust in arid areas and can make driving high-profile vehicles more challenging. The temperature spread means layering clothing is advisable if traveling across regions.

This forecast is based on current model data. Weather conditions can change; for real-time updates and severe weather alerts, always refer to the official Tunisian National Institute of Meteorology (INM).



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